The epidemiology of influenza in California, 1968-1973

Influenza is one of the most common acute febrile respiratory diseases in adults. Epidemics caused by influenza viruses occur every few years. When such epidemics are in progress, the medical community, the general public and the news media seek information regarding the presence, spread and severity of influenza. The methods and findings of the Influenza Surveillance System in California for the years 1968 through 1973 should be of interest generally. This period spans the total California experience with the type A Hong Kong variant (A/Hong Kong/1/68 [H(3)N(2)]), and the first appearance of the English strain of type A influenza virus (A/England/42/72 [H(3)N(2)]). The surveillance of influenza during this period showed that there were major epidemics in Calfornia only during the state's first experience with the type A Hong Kong variant in 1968-69, and with the English strain in 1972-73. Problems and limitations in influenza surveillance do exist. Nonetheless, the major surveillance indices used (school absenteeism, laboratory data and deaths from pneumonia and influenza) are reliable and sensitive indicators of general trends of influenza virus activity. These indices are most useful in comparing the relative severity of influenza epidemics. However, since these indices usually lag several weeks behind the occurrence of disease, this lag must be considered in making estimates of current incidence trends based on these indices.