An introduction to clinical decision analysis: bone marrow transplantation for aplastic anemia

Clinical decision analysis is a systematic and rigorously logical approach to medical decision making under conditions of uncertainty. The structuring of a clinical problem in a decision analytic framework enables the clinician to focus on one aspect of a complex decision at a time without losing sight of the whole. The concepts of clinical decision analysis are explained and the technique is applied to compare bone marrow transplantation with supportive care for the treatment of a patient with severe aplastic anemia. The advantages and disadvantages of clinical decision analysis are discussed. The technique is intended to complement, but not replace, clinical judgement.