Preterm delivery is not predicted by serial plasma estradiol or progesterone concentration measurements

Previous studies suggest that plasma estradiol-17 beta and progesterone concentration values differ between patients who deliver before term and those who deliver at term. To determine if these values would aid in preterm delivery risk prediction, we measured plasma estradiol-17 beta and progesterone concentrations serially in 90 patients at high risk for preterm delivery. Measurements from 17 patients who developed documented preterm labor and/or were delivered before term were compared to the tenth and ninetieth percentiles of 42 patients who were delivered at term. The sensitivity of these measurements to predict preterm delivery was very low. Also, the mean plasma estradiol-17 beta and progesterone concentrations in patients with preterm labor who had term deliveries and in patients with preterm labor that progressed to preterm delivery were not different from each other or from patients delivering at term. No change in plasma estradiol-17 beta or progesterone concentration was noted preceding labor. We conclude that serial measurements of plasma estradiol-17 beta and progesterone concentrations do not improve preterm delivery risk prediction.