[Algorithm for calculating socioeconomic loss in relation to premature mortality].

Area of Science:

• Public Health
• Health Economics
• Demography

Context:

• Assessing the social and economic impact of premature mortality is essential for effective public health policy.
• Arterial hypertension prevention programs offer a tangible approach to mitigating these losses.
• Economic and demographic factors significantly influence the calculation of premature death losses.

Purpose:

• To devise a calculation algorithm for social and economic losses from premature death, incorporating economic and demographic variables.
• To illustrate the application of these calculation methods using data from arterial hypertension prevention programs.
• To quantify the impact of specific factors, such as discount coefficients and survival expectancy, on economic loss estimations.

Summary:

• A novel algorithm for assessing social and economic losses due to premature death has been developed, integrating economic and demographic data.
• The study demonstrates that neglecting discount coefficients and survival expectancy can inflate economic loss estimates by 30-50%.
• Implementing arterial hypertension prevention programs in organized populations over four years led to reduced labor losses and an economic gain exceeding 160,000 rubles per 100 patients.

Impact:

• Highlights the significant economic burden of premature death, particularly from cardiovascular diseases like myocardial infarction and stroke.
• Provides a quantifiable framework for evaluating the economic benefits of public health interventions, specifically hypertension prevention.
• Emphasizes the importance of accurate actuarial and economic modeling in public health and economic loss assessments.