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Summary
Canadian otolaryngology is facing a decline in specialists, with a net loss of 16 specialists in one year. This trend, ongoing since 1979, predicts severe manpower shortages within a decade.
Area of Science:
- Otolaryngology--Head and Neck Surgery
- Medical Workforce Analysis
Background:
- The Canadian Society of Otolaryngology--Head and Neck Surgery's Committee on Manpower has historically monitored specialist numbers.
- Previous surveys indicated a declining trend in otolaryngologist numbers since 1979.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the current otolaryngological manpower status in Canada.
- To identify recent trends in the number of otolaryngologists across Canadian provinces.
Main Methods:
- Annual survey conducted by the Committee on Manpower in April 1983.
- Analysis of net changes in the number of otolaryngologists compared to the previous year.
Main Results:
- A net decrease of 16 otolaryngologists was recorded in the past year.
- Only one Canadian province reported a net increase in otolaryngologists.
Conclusions:
- The declining trend in otolaryngologist numbers is persistent and concerning.
- Continued decline suggests a high risk of significant manpower shortages in the field within 10 years.