Predicting performance during clinical years from the new Medical College Admission Test

The results of a predictive validity study of the new Medical College Admission Test (MCAT) using criteria from the clinical years of undergraduate medical education are presented and discussed. The criteria included course grades and faculty ratings of clerks in internal medicine, surgery, obstetrics and gynecology, pediatrics, and psychiatry; scores on a comprehensive test of clinical knowledge (including patient management type examinations); and scores on Part II of the examinations of the National Board of Medical Examiners (NBME). While the validity coefficients of the MCAT with the Part II examinations ranged from .03 to .47, they were higher than those of undergraduate grade-point averages with the same criteria. The implications of the small-to-medium size validity coefficients for admissions are discussed.