Predictive value of thallium scintigraphy in coronary artery disease

To verify the predictive value of thallium exercise scintigraphy, 20 normal individuals and 60 patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) were examined, using a quantitative standard technique and receiver operating characteristic analysis. The sensitivity of thallium scintigraphy for the presence of CAD was 97% for patients with previous infarction and 85% for those without infarction. The sensitivity for the extent of CAD was 93% for vessels perfusing infarcted areas and only 67% for vessels without infarction. In patients without myocardial infarction, sensitivity for the number of diseased vessels decreased with increasing extent of CAD. An underestimation of hemodynamically significant stenoses was proven by a comparison with the results of exercise ventriculography. The predictive value of a normal scintigram at a high prevalence of CAD is as low as the predictive value of an abnormal scintigram at a low prevalence level (screening). Thallium scintigraphy is indicated in patients with a medium prevalence of CAD, e.g., in patients with atypical angina and in asymptomatic patients with pathologic ECG.