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[Present population development and decision problems in the frame of social security for the aged]
Abstract:
Under the condition that current demographic conditions and the legislation of the old-age insurance will stay as they are now it is to calculate on a higher ratio of pensioners to work in the year 2030. The resulting financing requirements are neither only to be solved by appropriately high old-age insurance contributions nor by a reduction of the pensions level. Some measures for a relief of these problems are discussed with their advantages and disadvantages to economic growth and income distribution. But since measures partly need a decision in 20-40 years only, it is to be required for the moment that no steps are taken now which make the financing requirements more difficult at that time.
Keywords:
Demographic AgingDemographic FactorsDeveloped CountriesEconomic DevelopmentEconomic FactorsEstimation TechnicsEuropeGermany, Federal Republic OfHuman ResourcesLabor ForceMicroeconomic FactorsOld Age SecurityPopulationPopulation DynamicsPopulation ForecastPopulation ProjectionResearch MethodologySocial DevelopmentWestern Europe