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The Edinburgh City Hospital cohort: analysis of enrollment, progression and mortality by baseline covariates
R P Brettle1, A J McNeil, S M Gore
1Regional Infectious Disease Unit, City Hospital, Edinburgh.
Insights
HIV progression varies by risk group and age. Homosexual men and older patients experienced faster CD4 cell loss and poorer survival, while younger patients progressed slower. Zidovudine improved survival post-AIDS diagnosis.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Immunology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- The Edinburgh City Hospital HIV cohort provides valuable data on human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) progression.
- Understanding demographic and behavioral factors influencing HIV disease progression is crucial for patient management and public health strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To characterize the baseline features, enrollment patterns, disease progression, and mortality within the Edinburgh City Hospital HIV cohort.
- To identify factors associated with the rate of CD4 cell loss, progression to Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS), and survival post-diagnosis.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 622 patients (431 men, 191 women) in the Edinburgh City Hospital HIV cohort.
- Assessment of baseline characteristics, routes of HIV infection (injection drug use, homosexual/heterosexual intercourse, blood products), and CD4 cell counts.
- Multifactorial analysis to evaluate the impact of gender, age, and transmission route on disease progression (CDC stage IV, AIDS, death) and survival.
Main Results:
- Injection drug use (IDU) was the predominant transmission route (71%).
- Homosexual men and patients over 40 lost CD4 cells faster. Young patients (<25) showed slower progression to AIDS.
- Homosexual men had a significantly higher risk of progressing to CDC stage IV, AIDS, and death compared to IDUs. Survival post-AIDS was 25% at three years, with poorer outcomes for those diagnosed in their 40s or later. Zidovudine treatment showed a trend towards improved post-AIDS survival.
Conclusions:
- HIV disease progression and survival are influenced by transmission route and age at diagnosis.
- Specific risk groups, such as homosexual men, face accelerated disease progression.
- Age is a significant factor in survival post-AIDS diagnosis, and early treatment interventions like Zidovudine may offer survival benefits.
Abstract:
We describe baseline characteristics, enrollment, progression and mortality of the Edinburgh City Hospital HIV cohort. There were 431 men and 191 (31%) women; 439 (71%) infected via injection drug use (IDU); 92 (15%) via homosexual intercourse; 84 (13%) via heterosexual intercourse and 7 from blood products. Median annual rate of CD4 cell loss was 49 (90% range: 15-146); Both homosexual men and patients aged > 40 years at enrollment lost CD4 cells significantly more quickly. In multifactorial analysis controlled for baseline CD4 count and IgA, there was no gender effect, but young patients (< 25 years) progressed significantly more slowly to AIDS (RR 0.4, p = 0.00). Homosexual men progressed significantly more quickly than IDUs, with adjusted relative risks (RR) of 2.9 (p = 0.00), 2.5 (p = 0.01) and 1.5 (p = 0.1) for progression to CDC stage IV, AIDS and death, respectively. The three-year survival rate post-AIDS was 25% (SE 4.3) and there was no gender effect on survival. There was, however, an age effect whereby individuals diagnosed with AIDS in their 40s or later showed poorer survival (RR 1.9, p = 0.04). Zidovudine treatment after an AIDS diagnosis significantly lengthened post-AIDS survival (RR 0.5, p = 0.08).
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