Prediction and optimisation of the antihypertensive response to nifedipine

The predictability of the long term antihypertensive response to nifedipine in individual patients has been assessed by an analysis based upon the concentration-effect parameters defined following the first dose administration of 20 mg nifedipine (Retard). The predicted and measured reductions in blood pressure during steady state nifedipine treatment were compared for the trough and peak responses and there was reasonable agreement for the group of patients as a whole. However, when the measured and predicted blood pressure profiles were compared for each individual patient there was close agreement for the majority of patients but there were significant discrepancies in a few cases. Further analysis of the steady state concentrations in these cases revealed that there was no change in their responsiveness to nifedipine and that discrepancies were directly attributable to inappropriate compliance with the drug regimen. The analysis was further extended to simulate the blood pressure responses to alternative fixed dosage regimens. Assessment of these simulations suggests that blood pressure control with nifedipine Retard is significantly improved by three times daily drug administration.