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Health care: thinking ahead

C Bezold1

  • 1Institute for Alternative Futures, Alexandria, Virginia 22314.

World Health Forum
|January 1, 1994
PubMed
Summary

Securing future healthcare requires strategic planning. Futures thinking offers a framework to align desired health outcomes with anticipated societal and technological changes for optimal health system development.

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Area of Science:

  • Healthcare Policy
  • Health Services Research
  • Strategic Foresight

Background:

  • Future healthcare delivery depends on both aspirations and predicted future scenarios.
  • Proactive planning is essential for achieving optimal health outcomes.
  • Understanding the evolving landscape of healthcare needs is critical.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce and outline an approach called "futures thinking".
  • To explore methods for securing optimal healthcare for all in the coming years.
  • To bridge the gap between current healthcare desires and future possibilities.

Main Methods:

  • The study outlines a "futures thinking" approach.
  • This involves analyzing potential future trends and their impact on healthcare.
  • It emphasizes a structured exploration of "what the wider future is likely to hold".

Main Results:

  • Futures thinking provides a framework for proactive healthcare strategy.
  • It enables the identification of potential challenges and opportunities in healthcare.
  • The approach helps in aligning healthcare goals with future realities.

Conclusions:

  • Adopting futures thinking is crucial for effective healthcare planning.
  • This methodology supports the development of resilient and adaptable health systems.
  • It facilitates the achievement of equitable and high-quality healthcare for all in the long term.

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