Impact of heterogeneity in the predictive value of kinetic parameters in canine osteosarcoma

Intratumoral heterogeneity has been identified as a potential problem in the efficacy of predictive assays. Canine osteosarcoma is an extremely heterogeneous solid tumor that has been shown to be an excellent model for the human disease. Intratumoral heterogeneity of kinetic parameters and the effect of heterogeneity on predicting outcome of treatment (time until metastasis) were studied in dogs with naturally occurring osteosarcoma. Dogs were treated with amputation or tumor excision and limb-sparing followed by chemotherapy with cisplatin. Kinetic parameters evaluated included v, duration of DNA synthesis (Ts), and potential doubling time (Tpot), determined using in vivo labeling with bromodeoxyuridine and flow cytometry. In 30 tumors, multiple samples were obtained and evaluated. There was significantly more variation between tumors from different dogs than intratumoral variation of v, Ts, and Tpo. Variations in v, Ts, and Tpot within a tumor were associated with both sample location and tumor subpopulation. Time to metastasis was determined in 51 dogs with tumors sampled for kinetics. Multiple samples were available from 25 of these tumors. Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed using either the fastest or slowest Tpot from each sample. The fastest available Tpots were highly significant (P < 0.001) for prediction of outcome. The slowest available Tpots were also significant predictors, although the statistical strength was compromised (P = 0.024). Obtaining at least two samples in large tumors known to be heterogeneous is recommended to improve the predictive ability of Tpot. v is a more limited predictor but can useful when Tpot is not available. In canine osteosarcoma, an extremely heterogeneous tumor, kinetic parameters were shown to be predictors of outcome.