Chemotherapy of advanced breast cancer: outcome and prognostic factors

The outcome for 758 consecutive patients who had received one or more chemotherapy regimens for recurrent or metastatic breast cancer is presented. The response rate following first line treatment was 34%. Median duration of response was 7.8 months, median time to progression was 3.7 months and median survival was 7.9 months. The only factor predicting for response, of factors recorded at presentation and at initiation of chemotherapy, was the use of anthracycline based regimens, though this may reflect the patient selection policy. Initial disease free interval, presence of liver metastases and use of anthracyclines were significantly related to time to progression. Several factors related to survival following first chemotherapy, but anthracycline usage showed only a very weak correlation. One third of patients (249/758) received two or more chemotherapy regimens. The response rate (16%) and median time to progression (2.3 months) were significantly worse than for first line treatment. The outcome after third line chemotherapy was very similar to that observed following second line treatment. Achievement of an objective response with first line chemotherapy predicted for second response, but with insufficient power to be of use in selecting patients for subsequent chemotherapy. Time to progression following first line chemotherapy did not influence that after second line treatment.