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Epidemiologic evidence for multiple sclerosis as an infection
1Neurology Service and Neuroepidemiology Research Program, Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Washington, D.C. 20422.
Abstract:
The worldwide distribution of multiple sclerosis (MS) can be described within three zones of frequency: high, medium, and low. The disease has a predilection for white races and for women. Migration studies show that changing residence changes MS risk. Studies of persons moving from high- to low-risk areas indicate that in the high-risk areas, MS is acquired by about age 15. Moves from low- to high-risk areas suggest that susceptibility is limited to persons between about ages 11 and 45. MS on the Faroe Islands has occurred as four successive epidemics beginning in 1943. The disease appears to have been introduced by British troops who occupied the islands for 5 years from 1940, and it has remained geographically localized within the Faroes for half a century. What was introduced must have been an infection, called the primary MS affection (PMSA), that was spread to and from successive cohorts of Faroese. In this concept, PMSA is a single widespread systemic infectious disease (perhaps asymptomatic) that only seldom leads to clinical neurologic MS. PMSA is also characterized by a need for prolonged exposure, limited age of susceptibility, and prolonged incubation. I believe that clinical MS is the rare late outcome of a specific, but unknown, infectious disease of adolescence and young adulthood and that this infection could well be caused by a thus-far-unidentified (retro)virus.
Insights
Multiple sclerosis (MS) risk is influenced by geography and migration, suggesting an environmental trigger acquired in adolescence. This rare disease may stem from a widespread, possibly asymptomatic, infectious agent.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Neurology
- Infectious Disease
Background:
- Multiple sclerosis (MS) exhibits distinct worldwide geographic distribution patterns, with higher prevalence in certain regions.
- MS disproportionately affects women and individuals of white ethnicity.
- Migration studies indicate environmental factors play a role in MS risk acquisition.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the epidemiological patterns of multiple sclerosis (MS).
- To explore the hypothesis that MS is linked to an infectious agent acquired during specific age windows.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of global MS prevalence data and migration studies.
- Examination of MS epidemic patterns, such as those observed on the Faroe Islands.
Main Results:
- MS risk varies significantly by geographic zone and is influenced by residence.
- Evidence suggests MS susceptibility is age-limited, acquired around adolescence (ages 11-45).
- The Faroe Islands experienced successive MS epidemics, suggesting introduction and transmission of an infectious agent.
Conclusions:
- Clinical multiple sclerosis (MS) is proposed to be a rare outcome of a systemic infectious disease, termed primary MS affection (PMSA).
- PMSA likely requires prolonged exposure, has a limited age of susceptibility, and a long incubation period.
- The causative agent of PMSA is hypothesized to be an unidentified (retro)virus, potentially spread asymptomatically.