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Discrimination between two competing hypotheses on seasonality of birth in subfecundability traits
1Department of Medical Informatics and Epidemiology, University of Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Abstract:
In order to explain the winter (and often summer) birth excess of women characterized by subfecundity two competing hypotheses have been proposed: i) the seasonal preovulatory overripeness ovopathy (SPrOO) hypothesis (1-3) and ii) the epidemic seasonal infertility factors (ESIFs) hypothesis (4-6). The former assumes nonoptimum maturation of the oocyte during the seasonal transitions in the mother due to inappropriate hormonal feedback, comparable with other conditions in maternal reproductive life, e.g. menarche, menopause, postpregnancy restoration of the ovulation rate, etc. The latter assumes seasonal epidemic pathogens during the mother's pregnancy, or later in life. Agreement, disagreement and discrimination between these competing hypotheses were evaluated. The SPrOO hypothesis appears to have the virtue of raising several testable predictions and of offering more explanatory power. In addition, it incorporates the main stream of knowledge about congenital anomalies and elucidates many constitutional and reproductive enigmas in human reproduction.
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Types of Hypothesis Testing
When the null and alternative hypotheses are stated, it is observed that the null hypothesis is a neutral statement against which the alternative hypothesis is tested. The alternative hypothesis is a claim that instead has a certain direction. If the null hypothesis claims that p = 0.5, the alternative hypothesis would be an opposing statement to this and can be put either p > 0.5, p < 0.5, or p ≠ 0.5.

