Predictive factors for outcome of treatment for alcohol problems

Two samples of problem drinkers were followed up 2 and 4 years after they completed treatment. The first consisted of 72 men and 16 women admitted to a program for alcoholics (the inpatient sample), and the second, of 57 men and 35 women who participated in a program of outpatient treatment (the outpatient sample). At start of treatment, the outpatient sample, was generally characterized by a higher degree of social integration and more moderate alcohol problems than those found in the inpatient sample. These differences were sustained during the part of the follow-up period for which comparative data existed. In both samples it was possible to identify subgroups whose alcohol consumption throughout the observation period did not exceed average consumption in a comparative group of the Norwegian population. The most important predictive factors for alcohol consumption in the inpatient sample were degree of social integration, consumption before start of treatment, and sex. In the outpatient sample the most important factors were level of consumption and relative contribution of heavy drinking to the drinking pattern before start of treatment and the client's own goals as regards to alcohol. In both samples there was a close connection between alcohol consumed, total situation, and individual degree of satisfaction. For both groups, less frequent drinking and reduction of heavy drinking were most important for feeling satisfied with the drinking outcome. The therapeutic implications of the qualitative changes in drinking patterns are discussed.