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Related Experiment Videos

Predicting alcohol use in rural children: a longitudinal study

K A Long1, R J Boik

  • 1College of Nursing, Montana State University, Bozeman.

Nursing Research
|March 1, 1993
PubMed
Summary

This study found that 58% of rural sixth and seventh graders used alcohol, with beliefs about alcohol significantly correlating with use. Negative self-concept and school attitudes in earlier grades predicted later alcohol consumption among these children.

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Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Health
  • Adolescent Psychology
  • Rural Health Disparities

Background:

  • Early adolescent alcohol use presents significant public health challenges.
  • Understanding predictors of substance use in rural youth is crucial for targeted interventions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the prevalence and correlates of alcohol use in rural sixth and seventh graders.
  • To assess the predictability of alcohol use based on earlier assessments.
  • To identify risk factors associated with adolescent alcohol consumption.

Main Methods:

  • A cross-sectional survey was administered to 625 students in grades 6 and 7 from six rural Montana schools.
  • Data collection included self-reported sociodemographic characteristics, self-concept, school attitudes, beliefs about alcohol effects, and alcohol use.

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  • Logistic regression analysis was employed to examine predictive relationships.

    • Main Results:

    • Fifty-eight percent of the surveyed children reported current alcohol use.
    • A significant correlation was found between children's beliefs about alcohol and their reported alcohol use.
    • Predictive models for classifying users versus non-users based on 3rd and 4th-grade data lacked adequate sensitivity and specificity.

    Conclusions:

    • While early prediction models were insufficient, negative self-concept and negative school attitudes in 3rd and 4th grade were significant predictors of alcohol use in 6th and 7th grade.
    • Interventions targeting self-concept and school attitudes may help mitigate adolescent alcohol use in rural populations.