Biologic factors as predictors of social outcome of epilepsy in intellectually normal children: a population-based...

We studied social outcome for all the normally intelligent children in our province with onset of epilepsy between 1977 and 1985 (excluding absence and "minor motor" seizures). After follow-up averaging 7 1/2 years, the 337 patients were 7 to 28 years of age. Outcome measures were age dependent. Of those old enough to be at risk, the percentage with each unfavorable outcome was as follows: school failure 34%, use of special educational resources 34%, mental health consultation 22%, psychotropic medication 5%, unemployment 20%, social isolation 27%, inadvertent pregnancy 12%, and criminal conviction 2%. In social isolation 27%, inadvertent pregnancy 12%, and criminal conviction 2%. In a multivariate model correcting for number of potential unfavorable outcomes (based on age at end of follow-up), many variables related to epilepsy, seizure control, and electroencephalographic findings were not associated with social outcome. Only two variables were associated with at least one unfavorable outcome--learning disorder (p < 0.001) and more than 21 seizures before treatment was begun (p < 0.03). The only variable with no unfavorable outcome was simple partial seizures (p < 0.003). Sensitivity and specificity of this model were 54% and 68%, respectively, indicating that social outcome for these children was often not related to biologic factors reflected by the medical details and clinical course of their disorder.