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An SIS epidemic model with variable population size and a delay
H W Hethcote1, P van den Driessche
1Department of Mathematics, University of Iowa, Iowa City 52242, USA.
Journal of Mathematical Biology
|January 1, 1995
Abstract:
The SIS epidemiological model has births, natural deaths, disease-related deaths and a delay corresponding to the infectious period. The thresholds for persistence, equilibria and stability are determined. The persistence of the disease combined with the disease-related deaths can cause the population size to decrease to zero, to remain finite, or to grow exponentially with a smaller growth rate constant. For some parameter values, the endemic infective-fraction equilibrium is asymptotically stable, but for other parameter values, it is unstable and a surrounding periodic solution appears by Hopf bifurcation.