Lifetime cost of human immunodeficiency virus-related health care

Estimates of the lifetime cost of illnesses are needed for temporal and international comparisons and for assessment of the efficiency of prevention strategies. The goal of the present study was to estimate the average present value, at both the time of diagnosis and the time of seroconversion, of the lifetime cost of health care for HIV infection. Australian data on the monthly cost of HIV-related health care for homosexual men were linked with published data on disease progression using survival analysis methods. Future costs were discounted at 5% per annum. For a patient diagnosed when his CD4+ count fell below 500 x 10(6)/L, the average present value in 1992-1993 of lifetime cost was approximately $93,000, of which 49% was for drugs and 32% was for hospital bed-days. For a man infected in 1992-1993 and diagnosed when his CD4+ count falls below 500 x 10(6)/L, the average present value of lifetime cost at the time of seroconversion is approximately $70,000. These estimates are lower than the lifetime cost of $119,000 reported recently in the United States. However, when the U.S. figure was adjusted to make discounting of future costs consistent between the two studies, lifetime costs were approximately 17% lower in the United States. The lower American costs appear to be due to lower rates of hospitalization and drug prescribing, possibly because of reduced access to health services, but underestimation of costs due to study methodology might also explain the difference.