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The evaluation of screening methods to identify medically unnecessary hospital stay for patients with pneumonia
Objectives:
This study compared three methods to screen charts of pneumonia patients for excess days.
Methods:
A derivation data set was used to statistically derive a severity measure to predict length of stay for pneumonia patients and to refine a clinical algorithm for identifying excess stay. A validation data set was used to compare three computerized methods to screen for unnecessary hospital days: (1) an observed length of stay greater than a target value; (2) an observed stay greater than predicted for the specific patient; and (3) an algorithm that tested whether there were clinical justifications for the entire hospital stay.
Results:
The sensitivity and specificity for detecting excess stay for the three methods were (1) 0.48 and 0.85 for the observed stay greater than the target value; (2) 0.56 and 0.73 for observed stay greater than predicted; and (3) 0.83 and 0.85 for the algorithm.
Conclusions:
These results suggest that computerized clinical algorithms may provide a useful method to detect unnecessary hospital stay.