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Bayesian estimates of disease maps: how important are priors?
L Bernardinelli1, D Clayton, C Montomoli
1Istituto Scienze Sanitarie Applicate, Universitá degli Studi di Pavia, Italy.
Abstract:
In the fully Bayesian (FB) approach to disease mapping the choice of the hyperprior distribution of the dispersion parameter is a key issue. In this context we investigated the sensitivity of the rate ratio estimates to the choice of the hyperprior via a simulation study. We also compared the performance of the FB approach to mapping disease risk to the conventional approach of mapping maximum likelihood (ML) estimates and p-values. The study was modelled on the incidence data of insulin dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) as observed in the communes of Sardinia.
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