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Concomitant bacteraemia as a risk factor for diarrhoeal disease mortality in Karachi: a case-control study of
Z A Bhutta1, N Punjwani, B S Lindblad
1Department of Paediatrics, Aga Khan University Medical Center, Karachi, Pakistan.
Insights
Systemic infection, particularly bacteraemia with Enterobacteriaceae, significantly increases mortality risk in hospitalized children with diarrhoea. Early identification of systemic infection signs is crucial for improving outcomes in pediatric patients.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Infectious Diseases
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Diarrhoea remains a leading cause of mortality in hospitalized children globally.
- Identifying specific risk factors for fatal outcomes is essential for targeted interventions.
- Bacteraemia and systemic infections are recognized complications of severe diarrhoea.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the risk factors associated with death due to diarrhoea in hospitalized children.
- To identify clinical and laboratory predictors of mortality in pediatric patients with diarrhoea.
- To determine the role of bacteraemia, specifically Enterobacteriaceae, in diarrhoeal deaths.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective case-control study design was employed.
- Cases included all children who died from diarrhoea at Aga Khan University Hospital (AKUH) between 1988-1993.
- Controls were matched for gender and diarrhoea type, with two controls selected for each death.
- Univariate and conditional logistic regression analyses were used to assess risk factors.
Main Results:
- Forty-two deaths and 84 matched controls were analyzed.
- Isolation rates of organisms from blood cultures were significantly higher in deaths (38%) compared to controls (9%).
- Gram-negative Enterobacteriaceae were the predominant organisms identified in blood cultures of deceased children.
- Clinical indicators such as anorexia, drowsiness, respiratory distress, and anaemia, along with positive blood cultures, were significantly associated with increased mortality risk.
Conclusions:
- Bacteraemia with Enterobacteriaceae is a common finding in hospitalized children with diarrhoea, particularly those who are malnourished.
- Systemic infection, indicated by clinical signs and positive blood cultures, represents a critical risk factor for mortality in this population.
- These findings underscore the importance of early diagnosis and management of systemic infections in children with severe diarrhoea to reduce fatality rates.
Abstract:
The objective of this study was to evaluate risk factors for death due to diarrhoea among hospitalized children at the Aga Khan University Hospital (AKUH), Karachi. We conducted a retrospective case-control study of all diarrhoea deaths at AKUH over the period 1988-93. For each death, the next two consecutive admissions matched for gender and type of diarrhoea were identified as controls. Data were analysed by univariate methods and logistic regression analysis. A total of 42 deaths and 84 matched controls were identified. Blood cultures at admission were obtained in all deaths and 94% of controls. The rates of isolation of organisms from blood cultures were significantly higher among deaths [38 versus 9%, odds ratio (OR) 6.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.2-19.9], the majority of which were Gram-negative Enterobacteriaceae (94 versus 57%, Fisher's exact test p < 0.02). Conditional logistic regression revealed that several clinical and laboratory features of systemic infection were associated with a significantly increased risk of mortality, such as anorexia (OR 3.9, 95% CI 1.4-10.9), drowsiness (OR 4.4, 95% CI 1.3-15.3), respiratory distress (OR 7.0, 95% CI 1.4 36.6), anaemia (OR 5.8, 95% CI 2.0-16.6) and a positive blood culture (OR 8.7, 95% CI 2.5-30.7). Our data suggest that bacteraemia with Enterobacteriaceae is common among hospitalized malnourished children with diarrhoea and systemic infection may be an important risk factor for mortality.
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