Influence of increasing age on long-term survival after coronary artery bypass grafting

Despite the steady increase in the number of elderly patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), skepticism still exists as to whether this operation is justified in older people with a reduced life expectancy. The purpose of this study was to examine the effects of increasing age on outcome after CABG.

A retrospective chart review was performed on 1,689 consecutive veterans of the United States Armed Forces undergoing isolated primary CABG from January 1972 through December 1994. For better comparison, they were arbitrarily divided by age into three groups: group I, 50 years of age or less (n = 213), group II, between 51 and 70 years of age (n = 1,258), and group III, more than 70 years of age (n = 218). Long-term survival for each group was compared to that of their age-matched population derived from Wisconsin life tables.

The preoperative ejection fraction was comparable in all three groups (p = 0.114). The patients older than 70 years of age had received more grafts per operation than the patients 50 years of age and younger (3.7 versus 3.3) (p = 0.0001). Although the aortic cross-clamp time was prolonged with advanced age (p = 0.0002), the cardiopulmonary perfusion time was shortest in elderly patients (p = 0.0001). The early (30-day) mortality for the entire study population was 1.3%. There was a linear correlation between increasing age and early (30-day) mortality: group I, 0.5% (1/213); group II, 1.0% (13/1,258); and group III, 3.2% (7/218). The overall 10-year actuarial survival for all patients was 67%. The 10-year survival was diminished with increasing age (p = 0.0001): 74% for group I, 68% for group II, and 47% for group III. Comparative analysis of the three groups with their age-matched counterparts demonstrated an age-related survival after CABG. In group I, reduced survival was evident 4 years after the CABG: the 10-year survival in group I was 74.2%, and the survival of their age-matched population was 93.4% (confidence interval, 67% to 81.9%). In group II a survival difference was obvious 8 years after CABG: 10-year survival of 67.5% versus 75.1% in their age-matched population (confidence interval, 64.8% to 71.6%). In the elderly group of patients, no survival difference was noted: 10-year survival of 42.7% versus 45.9% of the age-matched population (confidence interval, 29.8% to 64.6%).

An acceptable early mortality and long-term survival equal to those seen for an age-matched elderly population are sound outcome measures that support the justification of CABG in older patients irrespective of age.