How to interpret findings on mortality of long-term lithium treated manic-depressive patients?! Critique of different...

Many studies have shown that patients with affective disorders have a mortality markedly higher than that of the general population. Studies of manic-depressive patients given prophylactic lithium treatment have yielded varying results. Some authors have reported mortalities which were more than four times that of the general population. Others have found mortalities which did not differ significantly from that of the general population. In order to examine these discrepancies we re-analysed the data of a previous study by IGSLI, using three different methods to calculate the Standardised Mortality Ratio (SMR). The data base was enlarged by adding mortality data from two additional centres. The results indicate that the discrepancies may result from the common use of a 'cumulative' approach which produces a distortion of the data if the treatment duration is not taken into consideration properly. An analysis which eliminates this artefact and takes the treatment duration into account ('year-by-year' approach) provides the strongest evidence that the mortality of lithium treated patients is not significantly different from that of the general population.