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Benchmarking the US physician workforce. An alternative to needs-based or demand-based planning

D C Goodman1, E S Fisher, T A Bubolz

  • 1Center for the Evaluative Clinical Sciences, Department of Community and Family Medicine, Dartmouth Medical School, Hanover, NH 03755, USA.

JAMA
|December 11, 1996
PubMed
Summary

Population-based benchmarking provides a practical method for estimating physician workforce needs. This approach is superior to needs- or demand-based planning for ensuring adequate physician supply.

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Area of Science:

  • Health Services Research
  • Medical Workforce Planning
  • Public Health Policy

Background:

  • Traditional physician workforce planning relies on needs- or demand-based models.
  • These methods may not accurately reflect the actual physician supply required for regional healthcare markets.
  • An alternative approach is needed to estimate a clinically active physician workforce.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose and evaluate population-based benchmarking as an alternative planning method.
  • To estimate a reasonably sized, clinically active physician workforce for the United States.
  • To compare physician supply across different regional healthcare markets.

Main Methods:

  • Cross-sectional analysis of 1993 physician masterfiles (American Medical Association and American Osteopathic Association).

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  • Analysis of resident populations within 306 US hospital referral regions.
  • Comparison of per capita physician numbers (adjusted for demographics and utilization) against benchmarks including a large health maintenance organization (HMO) and specific regional markets.
  • Main Results:

    • 96% of the US population resided in regions with a higher generalist physician workforce than the HMO benchmark.
    • The specialist workforce exceeded all three benchmarks for 74% of the population.
    • No significant relationship was found between the per capita generalist workforce and the proportion of generalists within regions.

    Conclusions:

    • Population-based benchmarking offers practical advantages over needs- or demand-based planning for physician workforce estimation.
    • Physician workforce benchmarks highlight varying regional employment opportunities.
    • The generalist-to-specialist ratio does not adequately measure generalist workforce supply; further research on workforce size and population outcomes is needed.