The effect of arthritis in the carpal joint on performance in Norwegian cold-blooded trotters

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the impact of arthritis of the carpal joint on performance of Norwegian cold-blooded trotters. Two performance variables were used in the analyses. The first was the start status, for which horses that had started in one or more races within a certain age received the value 1, and horses that had not raced were correspondingly assigned the value 0. The second variable was the accumulated, transformed and standardized earnings (ATSE), which is the power transformation of earnings (earnings .2, with unraced horses assigned a value of zero) expressed as a standardized normal deviate by birth year. With the exception of the first year of racing, the number of horses that had raced was larger in the group of unaffected horses than in the groups with arthritis (carpitis or bilateral carpitis), although the difference between the groups was not significant for any of the age classes. A similar picture was observed for ATSE and, in general, the diseased horses earned less money. None of these differences was significant at the 5% level. However, the statistical power was less than 0.3, which means that the probability of detecting a true difference was less than 30%. The data were deemed inadequate to show a significant effect of arthritis on racing performance. This may only be achieved through investigations in which more of the error variance can be statistically modelled, and in which arthritis can be observed as an incidence rather than as a prevalence.