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BSE: a decade on--Part 2

J G Collee1, R Bradley

  • 1Department of Medical Microbiology, University Medical School, Edinburgh, UK.

Lancet (London, England)
|March 8, 1997
PubMed
Summary

An estimated 6950 cases of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) may occur in UK cattle between 1997-2001. Public and animal health remain protected if current legislation is enforced.

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Area of Science:

  • Veterinary epidemiology
  • Food safety science
  • Public health policy

Background:

  • Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) poses risks to animal and public health.
  • Control measures have been implemented to mitigate BSE transmission.
  • Previous legislation banned specific bovine materials from food and feed chains.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To estimate the future incidence of BSE in UK cattle.
  • To assess the effectiveness of current control measures.
  • To evaluate the safety of bovine products for human consumption.

Main Methods:

  • Modeling disease incidence based on transmission parameters.
  • Analysis of legislative changes and their impact on control.
  • Review of food and feed chain exclusion measures.

Main Results:

  • An estimated 6950 BSE cases predicted for 1997-2001 under specific transmission assumptions.
  • Existing legislation, if enforced, adequately protects public and animal health.
  • Despite some control measure slippage, current safeguards are deemed sufficient.

Conclusions:

  • Bovine milk and beef are safe for human consumption.
  • Continued enforcement of evolved legislation is crucial for maintaining safety.
  • While culling could reduce numbers, it is not scientifically essential.

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