Variability in systolic blood pressure--a risk factor for coronary heart disease?

J S Grove1, D M Reed, K Yano

  • 1Biostatistics Program, School of Public Health, University of Hawaii, Honolulu 96822, USA.

Insights

High blood pressure variability, not just average levels, significantly increases coronary heart disease (CHD) risk in men. Managing blood pressure variation may be key to preventing heart disease.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Coronary heart disease (CHD) remains a leading cause of mortality worldwide.
  • Blood pressure variability is increasingly recognized as a potential risk factor for cardiovascular events.
  • Understanding the interplay between blood pressure metrics and CHD is crucial for effective prevention strategies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the association between different measures of blood pressure, including mean levels, age-related trends (slope), and variability (variance), and the incidence of definite CHD.
  • To determine if body weight variation is an independent risk factor for CHD.
  • To explore the impact of antihypertensive medication on the relationship between blood pressure variance and CHD risk.

Main Methods:

  • A longitudinal study involving 1,433 men of Japanese ancestry in Hawaii.
  • Blood pressure was measured at four points over 10 years, with subsequent follow-up for CHD events.
  • Statistical analyses, including regression and adjustment for covariates, were used to assess associations between blood pressure parameters and CHD incidence.

Main Results:

  • Adjusted for mean systolic blood pressure (SBP), SBP variance was a significant predictor of CHD (p < 0.001).
  • Body weight variation was identified as an independent risk factor for CHD.
  • The association between SBP variance and CHD was significantly stronger in men not taking antihypertensive medication (relative risk of 5.3 for highest vs. lowest quintile).

Conclusions:

  • Blood pressure variability, specifically SBP variance, is a significant independent risk factor for incident coronary heart disease.
  • Antihypertensive medication may exert its beneficial effects partly by mitigating the impact of SBP variance, not solely by lowering average SBP.
  • Reducing blood pressure variability should be considered in the comprehensive management and prevention of cardiovascular disease.

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