Prevalence and incidence of NIDDM in Daqing City

To investigate the prevalence and incidence of non-insulin dependent diabetes (NIDDM) in China by WHO criteria.

In the prevalence survey of NIDDM all 110660 participants (55391 men, 53269 women) were inhabitants of Daqing City, the largest oil center in northeast China, accounting for 87.3% of the 25 to 74 aged population in this city. They were screened by measuring two-hour plasma glucose concentrations (PG2 h) after a breakfast containing at least 80 g of carbohydrate, then a standard oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT, 75 g glucose load) was performed in 4209 subjects with PG2 h more than 6.67 mmol/L in this screen. NIDDM and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) were diagnosed using WHO criteria. Incidence survey was made in 36471 non-diabetics identified in the prevalence survey. Two-hour urine-glucose after breakfast was determined during first screen. The urine-glucose trace or positive subjects were then followed by OGTT. Glucose was measured by glucose oxidation method.

In prevalence survey, 630 newly diagnosed NIDDM (296 males, 334 females) and 596 IGT (318 males, 278 females) were found in 110660 (male:female = 55391/53269) studied subjects in addition to 190 previously diagnosed NIDDM. Thus the total prevalence of NIDDM was 7.7/1000, and IGT was 5.5/1000. Standardized to the Chinese population in 1982, the prevalences are 12.6/1000 (95% CI = 12.0/1000-13.3/1000) and 7.7/1000 (95% CI = 7.16/1000-8.19/1000) respectively. In the incidence survey, 191 NIDDM (103 males, 88 females) were diagnosed in the 36471 (male:female = 18801/17670) non-diabetics from 1986 to 1990, thus the annual incidence of NIDDM was 131/100000 (137 males, 125 females). Standardized incidence is 131/100000 (95% CI = 94/100000-168/ 100000). It is estimated that there would be more than 700 thousand new diabetics per year in 24-74 years old Chinese if Chinese population were 1.3 billion in the early 21st century.