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Predictors of successful external cephalic version at term: a prospective study
1Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Prince of Wales Hospital, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong.
Summary
Predicting external cephalic version (ECV) success is possible using simple clinical factors. Engaged presenting part, difficult-to-palpate fetal head, and tense uterus predict ECV failure.
Area of Science:
- Obstetrics and Gynecology
- Perinatal Medicine
Background:
- External cephalic version (ECV) is a procedure to turn a breech baby to a head-down position before birth.
- Predicting the success of ECV is crucial for optimizing obstetric management and reducing Cesarean births.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify clinical and ultrasonographic predictors of successful external cephalic version (ECV) at term.
- To develop a predictive model for ECV outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Prospective observational study of 243 external cephalic versions at a university obstetric unit.
- Recorded 19 clinical and ultrasonographic variables, analyzed using univariate and logistic regression in subgroups.
- Validated predictive models on separate patient subgroups for accuracy and reproducibility.
Main Results:
- Overall ECV success rate was 69.5%.
- Three independent predictors of ECV failure identified: engaged presenting part, difficult-to-palpate fetal head, and tense uterus.
- Predictive models achieved 75.2% and 84.2% accuracy. Success rates ranged from 94% (no risk factors) to 0% (three risk factors).
Conclusions:
- External cephalic version outcomes can be reliably predicted using readily available clinical parameters.
- These predictors can aid in patient counseling and procedural planning for ECV.