Late cytomegalovirus disease in marrow transplantation is predicted by virus load in plasma

Late occurrence of cytomegalovirus (CMV) disease after day 100 after bone marrow transplantation has become an increasing problem; whether a quantitative measurement of CMV DNA in plasma by polymerase chain reaction (P-PCR) could be predictive of such disease was investigated. In a prospective study, 117 subjects undergoing allogeneic marrow transplantation were followed for 120 days with weekly CMV blood cultures, with day 35 bronchoalveolar lavage CMV cultures, with weekly CMV P-PCR, and with clinical follow-up for an additional 1-2 years. Despite preemptive ganciclovir, CMV disease occurred in 9% of subjects, with a median time of onset of 176 days. Quantitative CMV P-PCR was associated with the late development of CMV disease (P = .01). Of 43 subjects with positive P-PCR results, 23% developed CMV disease, but no disease occurred in the 74 subjects with negative P-PCR (P < .001), despite the fact that 22% had CMV isolated from lung lavage fluid and 32% had CMV isolated from blood.