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Prostate volume and cancer in screening programs
B Standaert1, A Alwan, V Nelen
1Department of Urology, AZ Middelheim, Antwerp, Belgium.
Background:
Prostate cancer screening is studied in a randomized trial in Antwerp, Belgium. The case group receives three screening tests (DRE, TRUS, and PSA). Intermediate evaluation shows that only 1/3 of the biopsy results is positive (35/125). The proposed analysis identifies variables that determine the biopsy outcome.
Methods:
Multiple logistic regression analysis is used to regress biopsy results (n = 125) by age (60-74), PSA, PSA-D, prostate volume, TRUS, and DRE. Continuous variables are transformed into quartile values. Robustness of the outcome is tested with ROC and sensitivity analysis on age.
Results:
Biopsy outcomes are best explained (82.3%) by PSA, DRE, and DRE related to volume. Volume is more sensitive than age to explain the biopsy result. PSA-D, instead of PSA, does not procure more precise information when a high PSA cut-off level is used. Restricting the analysis to the 60-70-year-old age group shows that volume is more sensitive. ROC-analysis confirms the findings.
Conclusions:
When performing prostate cancer multitest screening among a wide age range, the use of uniform screening criteria is difficult to accept due to differences in prostate volume. Logistic regression analysis is an appropriate method to identify cut-off levels for prostate volume.