Proposal for a new model of breast cancer metastatic development

The commonly accepted theory of breast cancer metastatic development assumes continuous tumor growth from tumor seeding until documentation of clinical recurrence. In particular, Gompertzian growth kinetics is currently the theoretical cornerstone of the natural history of breast cancer, and has been widely utilized for planning treatments.

To verify agreement between findings and the implications of the continuous growth model, several published papers about the natural history of breast cancer after removal of the primary tumor were reviewed. Also, findings from animal models concerning metastasis biology were considered.

The continuous growth model failed in important ways upon this critical reappraisal. As an alternative, the tumor dormancy hypothesis was considered to provide a more reasonable description of tumor recurrence. Moreover, primary tumor removal was revealed as a potentially perturbing factor for metastasis development.

A new general outline of metastatic development of breast cancer incorporating tumor dormancy in specific micrometastatic phases, stochastic transitions between them, and start signals from surgery for micrometastatic growth was designed. The proposed model suggests new views concerning scheduling of current chemotherapy, new treatment approaches aimed at keeping micrometastases in a dormant state for the patient's entire life, and the careful reappraisal of the timing of surgery within the multimodal treatment of operable breast cancer.