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Related Experiment Videos

Constant and decreasing timing aversion for saving lives

J Cairns1, M van der Pol

  • 1Health Economics Research Unit, University of Aberdeen, Foresterhill, Scotland.

Social Science & Medicine (1982)
|January 15, 1998
PubMed
Summary

Economists often assume constant timing aversion, but this study finds substantial evidence for decreasing timing aversion when saving lives. The findings challenge the traditional economic model of time preferences.

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Area of Science:

  • Behavioral Economics
  • Decision Science
  • Public Health Policy

Background:

  • Traditional economic models of time preferences assume constant timing aversion.
  • Empirical evidence suggests this assumption may not accurately reflect real-world behavior.
  • Understanding time preferences is crucial for evaluating policies, especially those involving life-saving interventions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate evidence for constant versus decreasing timing aversion in the context of saving lives.
  • To compare the predictive power of different discounting models: constant, proportional, and hyperbolic.
  • To challenge the prevailing assumption of constant timing aversion in economic decision-making.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data collected from the general public to empirically test economic models of time preferences.

Related Experiment Videos

  • Focused analysis on scenarios involving the valuation of saving lives.
  • Compared findings against three distinct discounting models: constant, proportional, and hyperbolic.
  • Main Results:

    • The study found substantial empirical evidence supporting decreasing timing aversion.
    • Evidence strongly contradicted the hypothesis of constant timing aversion.
    • The findings indicate that people value saving lives more in the present than predicted by constant discounting.

    Conclusions:

    • The assumption of constant timing aversion in economic models is not supported by evidence when considering life-saving decisions.
    • Decreasing timing aversion appears to be a more accurate representation of how individuals discount future benefits, particularly lives saved.
    • These findings have significant implications for economic modeling and policy-making related to public health and safety.