Jove
Visualize
Contact Us
JoVE
x logofacebook logolinkedin logoyoutube logo
ABOUT JoVE
OverviewLeadershipBlogJoVE Help Center
AUTHORS
Publishing ProcessEditorial BoardScope & PoliciesPeer ReviewFAQSubmit
LIBRARIANS
TestimonialsSubscriptionsAccessResourcesLibrary Advisory BoardFAQ
RESEARCH
JoVE JournalMethods CollectionsJoVE Encyclopedia of ExperimentsArchive
EDUCATION
JoVE CoreJoVE BusinessJoVE Science EducationJoVE Lab ManualFaculty Resource CenterFaculty Site
Terms & Conditions of Use
Privacy Policy
Policies

Related Experiment Videos

Predicting the future demand for renal replacement therapy in England using simulation modelling

R Davies1, P Roderick

  • 1School of Management, University of Southampton, UK.

Nephrology, Dialysis, Transplantation : Official Publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association
|February 12, 1998
PubMed
Summary

Future demand for renal replacement therapy in England is projected to increase by 50-100% over 15 years, with dialysis demand rising by 150%. This impacts elderly patients and healthcare costs.

Related Concept Videos

You might also read

Related Articles

Articles linked to this work by shared authors, journal, and citation graph.

Sort by
Same author

Coulomb staircase in an asymmetrically coupled quantum dot.

Journal of physics. Condensed matter : an Institute of Physics journal·2023
Same author

A 'provocative' MRI: the detective in ambiguous groin symptoms?

Hernia : the journal of hernias and abdominal wall surgery·2023
Same author

Suppression of black-hole growth by strong outflows at redshifts 5.8-6.6.

Nature·2022
Same author

Drivers of ecological assembly in the hindgut of Atlantic Cod fed a macroalgal supplemented diet.

NPJ biofilms and microbiomes·2022
Same author

Dental school before or after core surgical training? Consideration for medically qualified junior trainees prior to embarking on their second degree.

The British journal of oral & maxillofacial surgery·2021
Same author

The effect of coincidental SARS-CoV-2 infection on pre-operative cardiopulmonary exercise testing.

Anaesthesia reports·2021

Area of Science:

  • Nephrology
  • Health Services Research
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Estimating future demand for renal replacement therapy (RRT) is crucial for healthcare planning in England.
  • Factors influencing RRT demand include acceptance rates, patient survival, and transplant availability.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To forecast the future demand for renal replacement therapy in England.
  • To model RRT demand under various scenarios of acceptance rates, survival, and transplantation.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized simulation modeling to project RRT demand over 15 years.
  • Incorporated data from national and international registries for patient and treatment survival.
  • Analyzed data from England and four district health authorities for transfer and survival patterns.

Related Experiment Videos

Main Results:

  • Projected a 50-100% increase in the number of patients receiving RRT within 15 years.
  • Anticipated a disproportionate rise in dialysis treatments, potentially up to 150%.
  • Identified an increasing proportion of elderly patients with comorbidities requiring RRT, particularly dialysis.

Conclusions:

  • Increasing RRT demand, especially among elderly patients with comorbidities, is expected.
  • Shortage of donor kidneys will increase reliance on hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis.
  • Rising healthcare costs and the need for improved quality of care for RRT patients present significant challenges for purchasers.