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Related Experiment Videos

A method of estimating physician requirements

A A Scitovsky, N McCall

    The Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly. Health and Society
    |January 1, 1976
    PubMed
    Summary

    Estimating physician needs in the US reveals a significant shortfall. In 1966, 34% more physicians were needed, with primary care facing the greatest shortage.

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    Area of Science:

    • Health Services Research
    • Medical Economics
    • Public Health Policy

    Background:

    • Assessing physician workforce needs is crucial for healthcare planning.
    • Previous methods for estimating physician requirements have limitations.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To estimate physician requirements for the United States population.
    • To compare physician shortages in primary care versus surgical specialties.

    Main Methods:

    • Utilized physician utilization data from two comprehensive prepaid healthcare plans.
    • Extrapolated plan member utilization rates by age, sex, and specialty to the entire US population.
    • Calculated physician requirements based on 1966 data.

    Main Results:

    • A 34% increase in physicians would have been required to meet the care levels of plan members for the entire US population.
    • A greater shortage was identified in primary care physicians (41%) compared to surgical specialists (21%).

    Conclusions:

    • The study highlights a substantial physician deficit in the United States, particularly in primary care.
    • Emphasizes the importance of critically evaluating all methodologies for estimating physician requirements.

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