Predictability of rehospitalisation over 5 years for schizophrenia, bipolar disorder and depression

The aim of this study was to examine the rate of rehospitalisation for schizophrenia, bipolar disorder and depression over a 5-year period in Tasmania, and to identify predictors of the number and duration of readmissions.

The Tasmanian Mental Health Register was used to study the 5-year pattern of rehospitalisation for all patients admitted to a Tasmanian public psychiatric inpatient facility with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia, bipolar disorder or depression, in 1983 or 1984.

Seventy-one percent of patients receiving a diagnosis of schizophrenia were readmitted in the 5-year period, compared to 59% for bipolar disorder and 48% for depression. For all three diagnoses, the number of prior admissions was a predictor of the number of readmissions and the total number of days spent in hospital in the follow-up period. Age and sex also had significant effects, which varied across diagnostic groups.

A substantial proportion of patients hospitalised for schizophrenia, bipolar disorder or schizophrenia were rehospitalised during the next 5 years. Patients with more previous admissions had more readmissions than those with fewer previous admissions.