The natural history of "failing" arterial bypass grafts in a duplex surveillance protocol

M J Dougherty1, K D Calligaro, D A DeLaurentis

  • 1Section of Vascular Surgery, Pennsylvania Hospital, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, USA.

Insights

Color duplex ultrasonography (CDU) can detect failing arterial bypass grafts. However, many grafts identified as failing by CDU do not progress to occlusion, suggesting current criteria may be too sensitive.

Area of Science:

  • Vascular Surgery
  • Diagnostic Imaging
  • Biomedical Engineering

Background:

  • Color duplex ultrasonography (CDU) is used to identify threatened arterial bypass grafts.
  • The natural history of grafts predicted to fail by CDU is not well understood.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To examine the patency of "failing grafts" identified by CDU over prolonged periods without intervention.
  • To evaluate the predictive accuracy of current CDU criteria for graft failure.

Main Methods:

  • Follow-up of 46 CDU abnormalities in 34 patients with lower extremity bypass grafts (autogenous, prosthetic, composite).
  • Grafts defined as failing if peak systolic flow velocity (PSFV) ratio was ≥3 or PSFV was <45 cm/sec.
  • No intervention was performed for follow-up periods ranging from 2 to 50 months (mean 10 months).

Main Results:

  • 10 grafts (21.7%) showed regression of abnormalities, 5 (10.9%) progressed, and the rest remained stable.
  • 14 grafts (30.4%) were eventually revised.
  • Only 3 grafts (6.5%) occluded during follow-up; occlusion was significantly more likely with PSFV ratio >7.0 (p=0.001) or both focal elevated PSFV ratio and low PSFV (p=0.03).

Conclusions:

  • Currently defined CDU criteria for predicting graft failure may be excessively sensitive.
  • A significant proportion of grafts identified as failing by CDU may not progress to occlusion without intervention.
  • Further refinement of CDU criteria may be needed to improve specificity in predicting arterial bypass graft failure.