Minimal residual disease after intensive induction therapy in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia predicts outcome

We investigated the level of minimal residual disease (MRD) in 26 children with B-lineage acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) after intensive induction therapy. A quantitative semi-nested polymerase chain reaction (PCR) detecting the clone-specific rearranged immunoglobulin heavy chain genes was developed to improve sensitivity and specificity of amplification. In all patients, one leukemic cell could be detected in a background of 10(5) normal blood mononuclear cells. All patients investigated were in complete remission at the end of induction therapy as evaluated by morphologic criteria. Nineteen patients (73%) had no detectable residual leukemic cells using the sensitive semi-nested PCR. Seven patients (27%) were PCR positive. Three had a low level (<2 x 10(-5) leukemic cells per bone marrow cell), while four patients had a high level (>2 x 10(5)) of detectable residual leukemic cells. All patients with low or undetectable levels of residual leukemia remained in complete remission at a median of 63 months from diagnosis (range 40-80 months), while all four patients with a high level of residual leukemia subsequently relapsed at a median of 21 months from diagnosis (range 13-37 months). The patient groups with undetectable or low, and high level of MRD did not differ significantly in other clinical or genetic features with prognostic significance. We conclude that the level of MRD at the end of the intensive induction therapy period is predictive of outcome in childhood B lineage ALL. If confirmed by large prospective studies, the level of MRD might be useful in stratifying patients into high and low risk categories.