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Bone mineral density is a predictor of survival
C Johansson1, D Black, O Johnell
1Department of Geriatric Medicine, Vasa Hospital, University of Göteborg, S-411 33 Göteborg, Sweden.
Calcified Tissue International
|August 14, 1998
Summary
Low bone mineral density (BMD) is a significant predictor of mortality in both men and women, especially for individuals over 70. This finding suggests BMD may indicate overall health and aging, outperforming traditional risk factors like blood pressure.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Epidemiology
- Bone Health
Background:
- Bone mineral density (BMD) is a key indicator of bone health.
- Established risk factors for mortality include blood pressure and cholesterol.
- The predictive value of BMD for all-cause mortality requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between bone mineral density (BMD) and survival in men and women.
- To compare the predictive power of BMD against traditional risk factors like blood pressure and cholesterol for mortality.
Main Methods:
- A population-based prospective study involving 1924 participants (850 men, 1074 women) was conducted.
- Bone mineral density (BMD) was measured using dual photon absorptiometry (DPA) in the calcaneus.
- Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze the relationship between BMD and non-trauma mortality over a 7-year follow-up period.
Main Results:
- Individuals in the lowest two quartiles of BMD exhibited significantly lower survival rates in both sexes (P=0.01).
- A decrease of 1 standard deviation in BMD was associated with a 1.39-fold increase in mortality (univariate analysis) and a relative risk of 1.23 in men and 1.19 in women (multivariate analysis).
- BMD proved to be a stronger predictor of mortality than blood pressure and cholesterol.
Conclusions:
- Bone mineral density (BMD) is an independent predictor of mortality, particularly in individuals over 70 years of age.
- Low bone mass may serve as a marker for general health status and functional aging.
- BMD measurement could be a valuable addition to general health assessments.