Medullary thyroid carcinoma: search for histological predictors of survival (109 proband cases analysis)

A group of 13 pathologists belonging to the French Calcitonin Tumor Study Group (GETC: Groupe d'Etude des Tumeurs à Calcitonine) examined the histological slides and medical records of 109 proband cases of medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) diagnosed on clinical features. The cases belonged to the various forms of the disease (80 sporadic and 29 familial MTC). The aim of the study was to detect histological predictors for survival by comparing morphological data from patients killed by the disease versus the others. Twenty-seven histological parameters were considered, including cellular heterogeneity, shape of the cells, and cytoplasmic characteristics. Other parameters such as sex, age, and phenotype of the disease were also studied. First, predictive parameters of interest on survival function were selected by univariate analysis (Mantel-Cox test). Then, the extracted parameters were tested in a multifactorial analysis using the Cox's forward stepping proportional hazard model. Five parameters were significantly associated with a lower survival function: presence of necrosis in the tumor (P = .001), squamous pattern (P = .002), age over 45 years (P = .004), presence of oxyphil cells in the tumor and absence of cells with intermediate cytoplasm (P = .025), less than 50% of calcitonin immunoreactive cells in the tumor (P = .04).