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Related Experiment Videos

Nursing education planning: a Delphi study

M P Mitchell1

  • 1Robert C. Byrd Health Sciences Center of West Virginia University, School of Nursing, Charleston Division, 25304-1299, USA.

The Journal of Nursing Education
|October 31, 1998
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

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The Delphi technique accurately forecasts nursing education events, with an 84.6% prediction accuracy. This method is valid for future planning in nursing education.

Area of Science:

  • Nursing Education
  • Health Policy
  • Forecasting Methods

Background:

  • Effective strategic planning in nursing education requires accurate forecasting of future trends and events.
  • The Delphi technique offers a structured approach to consensus-building among experts.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the Delphi technique's validity for forecasting future events in nursing education.
  • To determine the accuracy of Delphi-predicted events and identify factors influencing their occurrence.

Main Methods:

  • A three-round Delphi survey administered to 33 administrative heads of nursing education programs in a southeastern state.
  • Statistical analysis of questionnaire data to assess prediction accuracy and event viability.

Main Results:

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  • The Delphi technique demonstrated an 84.6% accuracy rate for predicted events (22 out of 26 occurred as predicted).
  • A 96% viability rate was observed for events that had not yet occurred (24 out of 25 remained viable).
  • Overall, 98.1% of events either occurred or remained viable for future occurrence.

Conclusions:

  • The Delphi technique is a valid and reliable instrument for nursing education planning and forecasting.
  • The study supports the use of the Delphi method for predicting future developments in the field of nursing education.