[The natural course of hepatitis B and hepatitis C virus infection]

Chronic hepatitis B and hepatitis C virus infections maintain a significant risk for the development of liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma and cause a considerable morbidity in the population. Among patients with chronic HBV infection and histologically confirmed hepatitis the annual incidence of liver cirrhosis is 2%. The risk for hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic HBsAg carriers is elevated about 40-230 fold. 20-30% of patients with chronic HCV infection will develop cirrhosis over 20-30 years. Hepatocellular carcinoma evolves yearly in about 3% of patients with chronic HCV infection and cirrhosis, whereas HCV-carriers without cirrhosis usually do not develop hepatocellular carcinoma. The high incidence of serious sequelae warrants a regular surveillance of chronic virus carriers.