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Computer Simulation Modeling for Recreation Management: A Study on Carriage Road Use in Acadia National Park, Maine,
1School of Natural Resources George D. Aiken Center for Natural Resources University of Vermont Burlington, Vermont 05405, USA
Computer simulation modeling effectively estimates carrying capacity in outdoor recreation areas like Acadia National Park. This approach helps manage visitor use and predict future conditions for sustainable recreation management.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Recreation Management
- Computer Simulation
Background:
- Increased visitation to outdoor recreation areas raises concerns about resource limits and carrying capacity.
- Visitor travel patterns on complex trail networks pose challenges for traditional observation and data collection methods.
- Accurate assessment of visitor experience and resource protection (VERP) is crucial for park management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore the utility of computer simulation for modeling visitor travel patterns in outdoor recreation settings.
- To build and validate a dynamic simulation model for visitor travel on Acadia National Park's carriage roads.
- To integrate simulation outputs into the National Park Service's VERP planning process.
Main Methods:
- Developed a dynamic computer simulation model using empirical data on travel routes and speeds.
- Generated simulated recreation days to assess persons-per-viewscape (PPV) conditions.
- Conducted goodness-of-fit validity tests to ensure model accuracy.
Main Results:
- Current visitor use levels at Acadia National Park do not violate proposed PPV quality standards.
- The simulation model accurately represents actual visitor travel patterns.
- Projected PPV conditions under increased use scenarios and for different park areas were identified.
Conclusions:
- Computer simulation modeling is a valuable tool for estimating current carrying capacity.
- Simulation can effectively predict future conditions and inform adaptive recreation management strategies.
- This approach supports ongoing research and enhances resource protection in parks.
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