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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America|August 22, 2022
Probabilistic forecasts of international bilateral migration flowsNathan G Welch, Adrian E RafteryDemography|September 12, 2015
Bayesian Probabilistic Projection of International MigrationJonathan J Azose, Adrian E RafteryProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America|July 27, 2021
Estimating SARS-CoV-2 infections from deaths, confirmed cases, tests, and random surveysNicholas J Irons, Adrian E RafteryPopulation and Development Review|November 2, 2020
How Do Education and Family Planning Accelerate Fertility Decline?Daphne H Liu, Adrian E RafteryThe Annals of Applied Statistics|April 21, 2020
Estimating Large Correlation Matrices for International MigrationJonathan J Azose, Adrian E RafteryDemography|December 5, 2025
Bayesian Projection of Extant Refugee and Asylum Seeker PopulationsHerbert P Susmann, Adrian E RafteryBMC Global and Public Health|September 11, 2025
Optimal pandemic control strategies and cost-effectiveness of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions in the United StatesNicholas J Irons, Adrian E RafteryEpidemics|October 3, 2022
Optimizing prevalence estimates for a novel pathogen by reducing uncertainty in test characteristicsDaniel B Larremore, Bailey K Fosdick, Sam Zhang, et al.Demographic Research|January 13, 2015
Joint Probabilistic Projection of Female and Male Life ExpectancyAdrian E Raftery, Nevena Lalic, Patrick GerlandJournal of Statistical Software|October 29, 2024
Probabilistic Estimation and Projection of the Annual Total Fertility Rate Accounting for Past Uncertainty: A Major Update of the bayesTFR R PackagePeiran Liu, Hana Ševčíková, Adrian E RafteryPageof 12