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Psychological Review|August 5, 2014
Surprisingly rational: probability theory plus noise explains biases in judgmentFintan Costello, Paul WattsTopics in Cognitive Science|February 1, 2018
Probability Theory Plus Noise: Descriptive Estimation and Inferential JudgmentFintan Costello, Paul WattsPsychological Review|December 29, 2015
Probability theory plus noise: Replies to Crupi and Tentori (2016) and to Nilsson, Juslin, and Winman (2016)Fintan Costello, Paul WattsCognitive Psychology|August 30, 2016
People's conditional probability judgments follow probability theory (plus noise)Fintan Costello, Paul WattsPsychological Review|January 25, 2019
The rationality of illusory correlationFintan Costello, Paul WattsCognitive Psychology|December 9, 2017
Invariants in probabilistic reasoningFintan Costello, Paul WattsCognition|November 3, 2017
Surprising rationality in probability judgment: Assessing two competing modelsFintan Costello, Paul Watts, Christopher FisherScientific Reports|February 10, 2023
A model of behavioural response to risk accurately predicts the statistical distribution of COVID-19 infection and reproduction numbersFintan Costello, Paul Watts, Rita HoweCognitive Psychology|November 14, 2020
Random variation and systematic biases in probability estimationRita Howe, Fintan CostelloJournal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory, and Cognition|June 20, 2007
A reanalysis of the CARIN theory of conceptual combinationPhil Maguire, Barry Devereux, Fintan Costello, et al.Pageof 9