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Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis|May 14, 2026
Potential Surprise Theory as a Practical and Theoretical Cornerstone of the Uncertainty-Based Perspective on RiskJames DerbyshireRisk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis|September 21, 2021
Increasing Preparedness for Extreme Events using Plausibility-Based Scenario Planning: Lessons from COVID-19James DerbyshireRisk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis|April 24, 2026
Looking for a Straw in a Haystack by Bridging the Cracks Between Individual Judgments: Narrowing the Knowledge Gap To Anticipate Surprises by Transforming Risk Assessors' Small Worlds Into Large WorldsJames Derbyshire, Terje AvenRisk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis|October 8, 2024
Out of sight but still in mind: Developing an expectation for surprises by formalizing unknowledge in a contemporary risk-assessment frameworkJames Derbyshire, Terje AvenRisk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis|April 22, 2025
Why ignore expiry dates on cosmetics? A qualitative study of perceived risk and its implications for cosmetics producers and regulatorsYujiao Wang, Gary Davies, James Derbyshire, et al.Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis|September 19, 2025
Adapting Scenario Planning to Create an Expectation for Surprises: Going Beyond Probability and Plausibility in Risk AssessmentJames Derbyshire, Mandeep Dhami, Ian Belton, et al.Pageof 1