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Plos Computational Biology|May 18, 2023
An approximate diffusion process for environmental stochasticity in infectious disease transmission modellingSanmitra Ghosh, Paul J Birrell, Daniela De AngelisJournal of Theoretical Biology|April 6, 2025
Modelling with SPEED: a Stochastic Predictor of Early Epidemic DetectionKathryn H Bowers, Daniela De Angelis, Paul J BirrellStatistical Science : a Review Journal of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics|January 25, 2020
Evidence Synthesis for Stochastic Epidemic ModelsPaul J Birrell, Daniela De Angelis, Anne M PresanisJournal of Theoretical Biology|May 26, 2025
Contact data and SARS-CoV-2: Retrospective analysis of the estimated impact of the first UK lockdownJoel Kandiah, Edwin van Leeuwen, Paul J Birrell, et al.Epidemics|April 7, 2015
Four key challenges in infectious disease modelling using data from multiple sourcesDaniela De Angelis, Anne M Presanis, Paul J Birrell, et al.Health Technology Assessment (Winchester, England)|October 24, 2017
Real-time modelling of a pandemic influenza outbreakPaul J Birrell, Richard G Pebody, André Charlett, et al.Scientific Reports|July 13, 2016
Reconstructing a spatially heterogeneous epidemic: Characterising the geographic spread of 2009 A/H1N1pdm infection in EnglandPaul J Birrell, Xu-Sheng Zhang, Richard G Pebody, et al.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface|December 26, 2014
Joint modelling of serological and hospitalization data reveals that high levels of pre-existing immunity and school holidays shaped the influenza A pandemic of 2009 in the NetherlandsDennis E Te Beest, Paul J Birrell, Jacco Wallinga, et al.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America|September 7, 2013
Prospects of elimination of HIV with test-and-treat strategyMirjam E Kretzschmar, Maarten F Schim van der Loeff, Paul J Birrell, et al.BMC Public Health|June 27, 2018
Exploiting routinely collected severe case data to monitor and predict influenza outbreaksAlice Corbella, Xu-Sheng Zhang, Paul J Birrell, et al.Pageof 13