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Published on: August 31, 2014
The coalescence of intrahost HIV lineages under symmetric CTL attack
1Department of Mathematics, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA. sr286@georgetown.edu
Insights
Cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs) control HIV infection. Our new model links CTL attack to HIV lineage coalescence using Poisson-Dirichlet distributions, improving understanding of viral evolution.
Area of Science:
- Immunology
- Mathematical Biology
- Virology
Background:
- Cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs) are crucial for controlling Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) infection.
- Existing deterministic models of HIV-CTL interaction lack stochasticity, limiting their ability to capture population dynamics.
- Understanding intrahost HIV evolution under immune pressure is vital for treatment strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a novel stochastic ordinary differential equation (ODE) model for HIV-CTL interactions.
- To investigate the impact of CTL attack on intrahost HIV lineages.
- To establish a connection between CTL-mediated immune pressure and HIV lineage coalescence patterns.
Main Methods:
- Development of a stochastic ODE model extending deterministic approaches.
- Analysis of CTL attack on multiple HIV epitopes with uniform strength.
- Derivation of a limiting version of the stochastic ODE model.
- Application of Poisson-Dirichlet distributions to describe HIV lineage coalescence.
Main Results:
- The stochastic ODE model accurately reflects HIV lineages under CTL attack, particularly at lower HIV population sizes.
- The coalescence of HIV lineages under CTL attack can be described by Poisson-Dirichlet distributions.
- An explicit link between CTL attack dynamics and HIV lineage coalescence was established.
Conclusions:
- The developed stochastic ODE model provides a more realistic framework for studying HIV-CTL interactions.
- The findings offer a new perspective on HIV evolution by connecting immune responses to lineage dynamics.
- This work bridges the gap between current lineage construction techniques (Kingman coalescent) and the influence of immune pressure.
Abstract:
Cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs) are immune system cells that are thought to play an important role in controlling HIV infection. We develop a stochastic ODE model of HIV-CTL interaction that extends current deterministic ODE models. Based on this stochastic model, we consider the effect of CTL attack on intrahost HIV lineages assuming that CTLs attack several epitopes with equal strength. In this setting, we introduce a limiting version of our stochastic ODE under which we show that the coalescence of HIV lineages can be described through Poisson-Dirichlet distributions. Through numerical experiments, we show that our results under the limiting stochastic ODE accurately reflect HIV lineages under CTL attack when the HIV population size is on the low end of its hypothesized range. Current techniques of HIV lineage construction depend on the Kingman coalescent. Our results give an explicit connection between CTL attack and HIV lineages.
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